Monday, December 15, 2008

The Tipping Point



There's a limit to how much bad news can be withstood. The Bernie Madoff scandal comes on top of an avalanche of bad news and there are those who speculate whether a tipping point has been reached.  One hopes not.  A complete collapse of confidence would be catastrophic.   But we're either very near the ledge or about to fall.   


Friday, December 12, 2008

Super-Spike


On second thought, never mind. Goldman Sachs now thinks the price of oil is going to $30, not $200 per barrel. They apologize for the error.  Maybe.

Market Maker



Wall Street reeled yesterday on the news about Bernie Madoff, a renowned trading specialist and former chairman of Nasdaq.  Mr. Madoff, in an interview with the the FBI, stated that his firm was insolvent and that his business was a Ponzi scheme.  Estimated losses are $50 billion.  He was turned in by his sons, who worked for him. The details are here.


Wednesday, December 10, 2008

The Perfect Storm Defense


Steve Pearlstein rightly points out that the "perfect storm" defense has become all the rage at financial firms, auto firms, media companies, etc.  And he shreds it.


Tuesday, December 09, 2008

Even If You Tried


You couldn't make this up.   If it were in a novel and not the newspaper, you'd say: "that's completely ridiculous." 

Autopsy


Guess who ends up with the short end of the stick in the Tribune Company bankruptcy filing? You guessed right: the employees get hosed. And the people who created the Tribune's (obviously) unsustainable capital structure? They cashed their checks long ago, thank you.


Sunday, December 07, 2008

The Somali Pirates Go Global!


Okay, it might not have been the Somali Pirates.  It might have been a gang of jewel thieves.   But one can hope.

Friday, December 05, 2008

Bridge Loan to Bankruptcy


Jim Manzi reviews the GM turnaround plan and finds it deficient in almost every respect. It's not really a business plan at all, says Manzi. It's magical thinking.

Thursday, December 04, 2008

Turkeys

Charlie Rose (of all people) has become the indispensable TV interviewer of the financial meltdown. His most recent discussion was with Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan and one of the few people who saw the collapse long before the actual collapse.  It's well worth your time.

Free Plaxico!

New York City's ridiculous, unconstitutional gun laws may lead to the imprisonment of Plaxico Burress, the soon-to-be ex-New York Giant wide receiver. This seems a waste of a great, if stupid, talent. Can't he just be traded? To, say, Denver? Bronco Nation loves guns! We'd welcome him with open arms.