Geoff Ogilvy

At the International at Castle Pines, Geoff Ogilvy described his short-game as "the worst on tour." Overstatement, but not wildly untrue. So one would have to be slightly deranged to pick him for a top-five at the PGA. Oak Hill, where the PGA is being played this week, is a US Open track, with rough that will test even the greatest of short games and greens so fast that downhill putts become panic attacks.

Nevertheless, Mr. Ogilvy is playing superb golf. He finished tied for second at the Buick two weeks ago (tied with Tiger and played with him on Sunday and shot 65, by the way), had a top ten at the International last week and yesterday shot a very tidy one-over (71) at Oak Hill. He's one to watch as the year's last major championship unfolds on one of the country's greatest golf courses.