Half Sample Half Right

Turns out the exit poll half-sample underestimated Senator Edwards, not (as had been the case in previous states) Senator Kerry. Looking at the county vote, it appears that Senator Kerry will win Wisconsin by a 3-6% margin, depending on the (it should have read) Milwaukee and Dane County figures, which at this point have not been posted.

So it goes. Exit poll half-samples are sometimes misleading. And judging from tonight's coverage, the commentariat couldn't be happier. It gave them their story line -- Edwards did even better than the exit poll expected!