Is It Too Late? And: How Deep?

Democrats seem intent on jumping off the cliff with Senator John Kerry. Why? I don't know. It may be a "birds on the wire" phenomenom; one flies off and suddenly they all fly off. It may be that Democratic voters have decided that he's the best they've got (I don't think this is true, I think Edwards is a vastly superior candidate). It may be that Democratic voters have found something in John Kerry that the rest of us can't see. But barring double defeat on Tuesday (in VA and TN). John Kerry will be the Democratic nominee.

He's a nightmare of a candidate -- moody, self-important, indecisive, self-righteous, self-important and incredibly thin-skinned. He's also boring -- mind-numbingly, run-out-of-the-room, can't-stand-it-anymore boring. And he's a gloomy bastard. And he's a transparent phony. Slavering over special interests has been the John Kerry way in Massachusetts for as long as anyone can remember. That's the way politics works; important interests get special attention. Kerry claiming otherwise isn't just false, it's absurd. He asks us to believe that the earth is flat.

It is now jello-ed conventional wisdom that President Bush is "clearly vulnerable" and "in deep trouble." Let's put it this way: his troubles are less deep if John Kerry is the nominee. And anyone betting against "jello-ed" conventional wisdom in this election cycle has already made a lot of money.