Mind The Gap.


Midterm elections usually hinge on turnout. The "in-party" voters turn out in fewer numbers. The "out-party" voters turn out, period. Political insiders call this the "enthusiasm gap," and it's a fairly predictable mid-term phenomenon.

Combine this year's enthusiasm gap with massive defections (to the GOP) from white voters and you get....Tuesday night. Ron Brownstein's analysis is, as usual, worth reading.

Bonus Link! More Brownstein here.